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Knoxville Housing Market Snapshot | September 2023

Knoxville Housing Market Snapshot | September 2023

PEOPLE ARE STILL BUYING HOMES

Many people feel uneasy about the real estate market right now. Most of us know that home prices are at all-time highs and interest rates are significantly higher than they were 2 years ago. However, the market data for our area suggests that there is still relatively substantial home buyer demand. 

Below you’ll notice that average home prices in Knoxville are still up 7% from last year and the average days-on-market is still a favorable 18 days. For some perspective, the average days-on-market for a home in Knoxville 10 years ago was well over 100 days. 

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve and interest rates. Our overall economy has not slowed down as quickly as expected, which is why the Federal Reserve keeps rates, which is helping to push mortgage rates higher. This trend is expected to stop at some point in the near future. 

The credible experts we follow are now saying that they expect mortgage rates to begin falling again sometime in early 2024. We are eagerly awaiting this to happen because it will help bring some much-needed housing affordability back into our market. This will also give those who purchased this year a chance to refinance and save some money.

Learn more about your local housing market:  https://listings.homemarketinggroup.com/idx/market-reports

Posted in: Knoxville Housing Market Tagged: home prices knoxville, housing market knoxville, interest rates, mortgage rates, real estate market knoxville

Knoxville Housing Market Snapshot | August 2023

Housing Market Snapshot | Knoxville | August 2023

NO SIGNS OF A SLOWDOWN YET…

The gradual upward trend in Knoxville area home prices continued in August. Limited housing inventory, a very low unemployment rate, and extensive demand continue to be the recipe that is driving prices up.

Mortgage interest rates remained relatively steady last month. That said, many reputable mortgage experts and economists predict significant declines in interest rates as early as this winter. By the end of next spring, interest rates could be down in the low 5% range making for an excellent opportunity to refinance your mortgage if you’ve bought a home within the past 18 months.

It’s still an amazing time to sell a home, which may not last much longer. When interest rates drop, there will likely be a rise in housing inventory. As inventory rises, home price appreciation will cool off. Also, It will likely take longer to sell your home with more competition on the market and more concessions required to make a deal.

Get your local housing market report:  https://listings.homemarketinggroup.com/idx/market-reports

Posted in: Knoxville Housing Market Tagged: home prices knoxville, housing knoxville, housing market knoxville, knoxville tennessee, real estate market knoxville

Knoxville Housing Market Snapshot | July 2023

Housing Market Snapshot | Knoxville | July 2023

HERE’S WHERE WE ARE AT…

The average sales price of homes in Knoxville remained well above what it was at this time last year. That said, we’ve noticed some signs that prices may be starting to stabilize.

When comparing our sales price-to-listing price ratio on a month-to-month basis, it dropped for the first time since January. Also, the absorption rate of homes in our area (how fast homes are selling) also continued its upward trend to a 2.2 months supply. While this number still represents a strong seller’s market, the upward trend indicates that we are moving closer to the 4-month benchmark that many housing experts use to determine whether or not we are in the “buyer’s market” or “seller’s market”.

Typically, when you have a rising absorption rate, a declining sales price-to-listing price ratio, and a higher average days-on-market (compared to this time last year), you also see housing inventory increase. That’s really not the case in Knoxville right now! Our overall housing inventory has remained relatively flat throughout 2023 and is still about 13% below what it was at this time last year.

So, what does this mean? It could be that the demand for housing is starting to soften just a little bit. This is likely due to the rate at which home prices have risen over the past few years and not because there are fewer people who want to buy a home. Potential home buyers could be “waiting things out” to see what happens with interest rates (expected to start coming down at the end of 2023 and into 2024). Others could be waiting to buy because they just can’t afford the ideal home for the lifestyle they would prefer to have. 

If you have questions about our housing market or whether or not now is the time to make a move, feel free to contact us.

Posted in: Knoxville Housing Market Tagged: home prices knoxville, housing market knoxville, knoxville tennessee, living in knoxville, real estate market knoxville

Knoxville Housing Market Snapshot | June 2023

Housing Market Snapshot | Knoxville | June 2023

ACTING WITH THE FUTURE IN MIND

The recipe that makes home prices what they are in the Knoxville area hasn’t changed over the past few months.  In short, the demand for homes still far outweighs the supply and continues to slowly push prices upward.   In fact, the average sales price for a home is up almost 13% compared to this time last year.

Mortgage rates haven’t changed much move the past 30 days.  The good news is that expectations from many economists and mortgage experts are that rates will begin dropping this year and could be in the 5% range by next year. 

The outlook on the US economy continues to improve as well.  The risk of a substantial real estate market crash coming anytime soon is minimal at this point.  In fact, many economists don’t foresee any recession in the near future.  And if a recession does transpire, it will be mild and not nearly as bad as the one that hit the United States in 2007. 

Our unsolicited advice?  Don’t try and time the market…  If you can afford to buy the house you want, then strongly consider buying it sooner than later.  With home prices creeping up, it may be wise to lock in at the current sales prices.   Once mortgage rates begin sliding back down, you can refinance your mortgage to take advantage of the lower rate and reduce your monthly payment. 

On the flip side, it’s still a very favorable time to sell your home right now.  We’ve seen many of our clients drastically improve their financial situations using the money they received from the sale of their homes. 

Got questions?  Contact HMG

Posted in: Knoxville Housing Market Tagged: home prices knoxville, housing market knoxville, real estate agents knoxville tn, real estate market knoxville, realtors knoxville tn

Knoxville Housing Market Snapshot | May 2023

Knoxville Housing Market Snapshot | May 2023

FEELIN’ HOT, HOT, HOT…

Fueled by an economy that is growing at nearly twice the pace of the national economy, Knoxville’s housing market has shown no signs of slowing down.  The average sales price in May skyrocketed to just over $460K compared to $425K in April.  While this could only be a one-month aberration, average home prices are still trending upward from the start of 2023.

Housing inventory also crept up in May, which is a welcome sign for the many homebuyers waiting for that right home to hit the market. 

Despite the increase in the number of homes for sale, our sales price-to-list price ratio remained above 100%, signaling that demand still far outweighs the housing supply in the Knoxville area.

Housing affordability is becoming more and more of a concern for Greater Knoxville.  As home prices recently rose above the national average for the first time ever, homes for sale in lower price points have become quite scarce.  Rapid net population growth and extremely low unemployment are a few of the primary factors driving this trend.

If you are curious about what your house is now worth given the recent increase in home prices, reach out to our research team for a no-obligation home value estimate:  https://hollimccray.com/your-home-value/

Posted in: Knoxville Housing Market Tagged: home prices knoxville, home values knoxville, housing market knoxville, real estate market knoxville

Will The Housing Market Crash?

Housing Market 2022
Interesting take on the housing market by Dave Ramsey about the housing market…

Check out this quote from a recent Facebook post by Dave that sums up his views on the housing market, at least for the near future. What are your thoughts about what he’s saying?  Do you agree?

Before you answer, Dave put together an excellent housing market update on his YouTube channel last week. Watch it!

He provides some very intriguing data to reinforce his belief that there won’t be a housing market crash in 2022.  In fact, he thinks home prices could continue over the next few years, despite rising mortgage interest rates and higher housing inventory.  

With so much information and uncertainty in the housing market right now, Dave’s Real Estate Reality Check video provides some clarity on how to interpret what’s going on right now.  It’s definitely thought-provoking and insightful.  If he’s right, those waiting to buy or sell a home until after the supposed real estate crash occurs may be waiting quite a long time…

That said, if you’re ready to have a discussion about possibly selling your house, then let’s talk…  Contact HMG

Posted in: Real Estate Market Tagged: home prices, home prices knoxville, housing information, housing market, knoxville real estate market, moving to knoxville, real estate market

Insights Into the Local Real Estate Market | An Interview With Jody Neubauer

Written By:  Sarah Koenig Wagner

Jody Neubauer | Holli McCray Home Marketing Group
Jody Neubauer – Listing Coordinator

Jody Neubauer has been part of Holli McCray’s team since the early days when they were operating out of the back room of the Keller Williams building in Bearden.  He transitioned to the real estate industry in 2012 from a restaurant management role.  And with him, he brought an abundance of skills that have proven to be invaluable to the growth of HMG.   I was able to speak with Holli and she had this to say about Jody…  “I will forever be grateful to Jody for taking the risk of leaving a stable job to come work with us when there was very little to guaranty at the time”…  “He’s been such a huge reason for our success over the years.  His loyalty, consistency, expertise, and contagious personality have been integral in building the culture of our firm”, said McCray.  

I recently interviewed Jody who offered some interesting insights about himself, his job, and the Knoxville real estate market…

 

Sarah: Hi Jody! Thank you for sitting down with us for a little real estate Q&A. Before we get started, can you tell us what you do for the Holli McCray Home Marketing Group Real Estate Team? How long have you been with HMG and why do you like working there?

Jody: Hello. My name is Jody Neubauer and I’m a “Listing Team Coordinator”. I’ve been with Holli McCray since 2012. My major task is to research values of homes in the area, lead generation (reaching out to past and new clients, both buyers and sellers), addressing incoming calls, maintaining contracts and inventory, and conducting follow up. There are so many reasons I like work here. The main reasons I’ve stayed with Holli McCray is that I love the team collaboration, the people, the transparency in how we conduct business, our respect and support for each other and our clients. We are all leaders on the team and are consistently voted the number one team in the area. We know what we’re doing and we love doing it together.

 

Sarah: Are you from the Knoxville area originally? What made you choose Knoxville for your home?

Jody: I’m from South Texas originally, the Rio Grande Valley area. My step-father worked for the FAA and transferred our family to Knoxville in 1984. My parents eventually left, but I chose to stay here. When I got married, my wife and I moved to Nashville, but I really missed the outdoors and activities that Knoxville had to offer, so we moved back. Knoxville is a perfect fit for me, not too small, not too big. There’s been a lot of growth in the area, but it hasn’t lost its character. The people are real nice—it’s an ideal location for a family. The change of seasons is beautiful and there are so many outdoor activities you can do here.

 

Sarah: In the last six months, the world, in general, has changed drastically due to COVID. How has the real estate market been affected? What are the biggest changes you’ve seen?

Jody: The real estate market itself hasn’t been compounded by Covid locally, but what I have seen is the cost of goods increasing, construction supplies are harder to come by, and there have been delays in shipping those materials. Agents have always been able to work remotely and continue to offer virtual tours. Our listings are always available on our website, so you can preview photos from the comfort of your own safe space. We always work with the buyer or seller’s comfort level, so in-person visits can also be arranged using masks and distancing. The pandemic has altered how we conduct business but hasn’t stopped us from doing it. Overall real estate inventory is trending downward across the country (meaning there’s not a large number of homes on the market), but we continue to deal with moves that are necessary due to job transfers, deaths, divorces, etc.

 

Sarah: How are home values determined ultimately determined? What aspects are most important to home appraisers? What are the automatic deal breakers? Can you walk us through the process step by step?

Jody: Several factors come into play. There’s a difference between what I do and what appraisers do.  Appraisers look at upgrades compared to other homes to determine values. What I’m looking at is the marketability of the house.  So I’m looking at things from a buyer’s perspective, influenced by demand. I start my research at the subdivision level, including a two-mile radius surrounding the property, and zip codes. Home values are continuing to increase due to high demand and low inventory. Bad locations are always deal-breakers, and foreclosures in the area can also bring values down. It’s like they say “location, location, location” really does matter.

 

Sarah: What can a seller to do boost their home values?

Jody: In this market, you really don’t have to do much, but if you really want to boost your value right off the bat, it’s always curb appeal. First impressions really do make a difference and get you the biggest bang for your buck. Upgrades are important but modest—you don’t want to overshoot your neighborhood. Keeping your home clean and well maintained is more important than staging or decorating.

 

Sarah: Do you think now is a good time to buy or sell your home? Why or why not?

Jody: NOW is the best time to sell your home. With inventory so low, you have very little competition. For buyers, interest rates are low right now which can also be a plus. But if you’re in the position to sell now, I definitely recommend you do that and rent short-term while you’re looking for your new home.

 

Sarah: What advice would you give to a first-time home buyer or seller looking to make a move in the year ahead?

Jody: Your first step should be meeting with the HMG team and setting up a game plan. HMG can walk you through the process and hold your hand. We know every house and every client has different needs. Don’t spend money before you know you need to. Our agents can keep an eye out on inventory and let you know when’s the best time to make a move. We have two teams, listing partners and buying agents, that can work for you simultaneously, saving you time and money. Our agents can also be on the lookout for your ideal home before it comes to the market.

 

Sarah: Are there any specific areas in Knoxville you feel are outstanding opportunities?

Jody: Investment properties are harder to find right now, there are not too many opportunities for flippers at the moment. Mountain properties, just outside of Knoxville, are exploding in the market due to the pandemic and the desire for social distancing. Buyers are paying top dollar for these properties and choosing to rent them out year-round. South Knoxville used to be a harder area to sell, however, it’s been recently revitalized with bike trails, movie theatres, and small businesses. Downtown has also seen big changes within the last five years adding revitalized shops and restaurants. I would consider both South Knoxville and Downtown as up and coming areas.

 

Sarah: In conclusion, is there anything you could share with our HMG blog readers to give them an inside scoop on Knoxville’s real estate market?

Jody: Knoxville has seen incredible changes in the last ten years. We have fantastic breweries and restaurants that have made Knoxville home. We used to be referred to as the “chain-capital of the world, but now it’s great to see so many local businesses on the rise. Knoxville is known for its Southern hospitality—we have a little bit of something for everybody. It’s a great town for investing in—we have the University, affordable housing, mild seasons, and lots of outdoor activities. Knoxville was also voted one of the “top ten great places to retire”, and in my opinion, I can’t say enough about the area—it’s just a fun place to live!

 

Sarah: Thanks again Jody, for taking the time to answer our questions!

Jody: Absolutely!

Posted in: Holli McCray Home Marketing Group Tagged: holli mccray home marketing group careers, holli mccray jobs, home marketing group, home prices knoxville, jody neubauer, knoxville real estate market, local real estate trends, real estate agents knoxville, real estate market information, realtors knoxville

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